A Look at How Exit Poll Agencies Performed. In 2018, exit polls were conducted for the assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Mizoram, and Rajasthan. The results of these exit polls were mixed, with some agencies predicting accurate results and others not.
Madhya Pradesh
In Madhya Pradesh, exit polls predicted a tough fight between the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (Congress). The Congress won the election, but the exit polls were not accurate in predicting the exact number of seats each party would win.
CNX-Times Now:* Predicted 126 seats for BJP, 89 for the Congress. News24-Pace Media:* Gave 103 seats to the BJP, 115 to the Congress. CSDS-ABP News:* Predicted 94 seats for the BJP and 126 seats for the Congress. Axis My India and India Today:* Predicted a neck and neck fight giving 111 seats to the BJP and 113 seats to the Congress. India News- NETA:* Gave 106 seats to the BJP and 112 to the Congress.
Chhattisgarh
In Chhattisgarh, exit polls predicted a win for the Congress. The Congress did win the election, but the exit polls were not accurate in predicting the exact number of seats the party would win.
CSDS – ABP News:* Gave 52 seats to the BJP and 35 seats to the Congress. C Voter-Republic TV:* Predicted a Congress victory with 45 seats and gave 39 seats to the BJP. News 24-Pace Media:* Gave 39 seats to the BJP and 48 seats to the Congress. Axis My India – India Today:* Gave 60 seats to the Congress and 26 to the BJP. News X- NETA:* Predicted a neck and neck fight, giving 42 seats to the BJP and 41 seats to the Congress. Today’s Chanakya:* Predicted 36 seats for the BJP and 50 seats for the Congress.
Mizoram
In Mizoram, exit polls predicted a tough fight between the Mizo National Front (MNF) and Congress. The MNF won the election, but the exit polls were not accurate in predicting the exact number of seats each party would win.
CVoter – Republic TV:* Said the Congress would win the polls with 16-20 seats, with MNF winning 14-18 seats. CNX-Times:* Said the Congress was winning 18 seats as against the BJP’s 16 seats.
Rajasthan
In Rajasthan, exit polls predicted a clear victory for the Congress. The Congress did win the election, but the exit polls were not accurate in predicting the exact number of seats the party would win.
CVoter – Republic TV:* Predicted 60 seats for the BJP and 137 to the Congress. CNX – Times Now:* Gave 85 seats to the BJP and 105 to the Congress. India TV:* Gave between 80-90 seats to the BJP and 100-110 seats to the Congress. CSDS – ABP:* Gave 83 to the BJP and 101 to the Congress. Axis My India – India Today:* Gave between 55-72 seats to the BJP and 119-141 seats to the Congress. Republic-Jan Ki Baat:* Gave 93 seats to the BJP and 91 to the Congress.
Conclusion
The 2018 exit polls were mixed in their accuracy. Some agencies were able to predict the outcome of the elections with some degree of accuracy, while others were not. Overall, the exit polls were not a reliable source of information for voters.
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